call me too free on a lazy sunday evening... but looking at the number of postings in the keep377a.com and repeal377a.com sites, we can conclude the the majority has actually not spoken, very different from what was claimed by the initiators of keep377a.com. and if silence mean consent, then the majority had actually signaled that 377a should be repealed. let's look at the numbers below. my key assumptions - there are 5% gays in the population, the percentage of people posting against the motion in both website are negligible to the total number of actual postings.
possibility one
key assumption - people in repeal377a are only gays, lesbians and anyone less than perfect straightness and their agenda is nothing but one of gay rights, ie the whole motion is straight vs gay. then for the majority to have spoken, if repeal377a.com has 7500 postings, keep377a.com must have at least 150,000 posts. this is not the case. that is to say, the majority has not spoken as claimed by keep377a.com.
possibility two
key assumption - assuming that out of every 2 gay person, there will be one straight who supports their cause, then we can only consider 2/3 of people in repeal377a are gays, lesbians and anyone less than perfect straightness. as such, for the gay agenda to be the argument as the key motive for the repeal377a.com postings, we can only consider 5000 (2/3 of the 7500 postings) to be `qualified'. using the same 5% gays in the population, then we should have 100,000 postings in keep377a.com to consider the majority to have spoken. again, this is not the case.
possibility three
key assumption - assuming that out of every gay person who made the repeal377a.com posting, there is an equal proportion of supporter. as such, using the same argument as above, for the gay agenda to be the argument as the key motive for the repeal377a.com postings, we can only consider 3750 (1/2 of the 7500 postings) to be `qualified'. using the same 5% gays in the population, then we should have 75,000 postings in keep377a.com to consider the majority to have spoken. again, this is not the case.
and even if i were to adopt a 10% gay population (which the straight people will probably freak out), the numbers still lean towards a majority wanting to repeal 377a! or perhaps, the majority has actually agreed that this is an equality issue and not merely a gay issue?
how's that? the cynic in me tells me that in politics, statistics like this can be twisted and argued to suit what the people in power wants. let's wait and see. i don't have much hopes in this set of people. then again, when you are already the underdog, you have nothing to lose :-)
possibility one
key assumption - people in repeal377a are only gays, lesbians and anyone less than perfect straightness and their agenda is nothing but one of gay rights, ie the whole motion is straight vs gay. then for the majority to have spoken, if repeal377a.com has 7500 postings, keep377a.com must have at least 150,000 posts. this is not the case. that is to say, the majority has not spoken as claimed by keep377a.com.
possibility two
key assumption - assuming that out of every 2 gay person, there will be one straight who supports their cause, then we can only consider 2/3 of people in repeal377a are gays, lesbians and anyone less than perfect straightness. as such, for the gay agenda to be the argument as the key motive for the repeal377a.com postings, we can only consider 5000 (2/3 of the 7500 postings) to be `qualified'. using the same 5% gays in the population, then we should have 100,000 postings in keep377a.com to consider the majority to have spoken. again, this is not the case.
possibility three
key assumption - assuming that out of every gay person who made the repeal377a.com posting, there is an equal proportion of supporter. as such, using the same argument as above, for the gay agenda to be the argument as the key motive for the repeal377a.com postings, we can only consider 3750 (1/2 of the 7500 postings) to be `qualified'. using the same 5% gays in the population, then we should have 75,000 postings in keep377a.com to consider the majority to have spoken. again, this is not the case.
and even if i were to adopt a 10% gay population (which the straight people will probably freak out), the numbers still lean towards a majority wanting to repeal 377a! or perhaps, the majority has actually agreed that this is an equality issue and not merely a gay issue?
how's that? the cynic in me tells me that in politics, statistics like this can be twisted and argued to suit what the people in power wants. let's wait and see. i don't have much hopes in this set of people. then again, when you are already the underdog, you have nothing to lose :-)
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